Author name: Eddy Hirono

[Post-Match Thoughts] Poor Officiating but Even Poorer Sailors (Young Lions 1 LCS 1)

In the preview article, I said this would be comfortable for us, especially if we get an early goal. Oops. Our Sailors did the first part, but then made Young Lions look like they prime Mourinho’s Internazionale. Speaking to fans after the game, Ishaq (who is a regular member of the Crew and always sings loud and proud) made the point that as a Sailors fan he is disappointed, but as a Singaporean fan, he is proud of the Young Lions for the resolute defensive display. You can check out his interview, along with that of Charmaine (also loud and proud Crew member) over here. Well – to that I say, while I agree with him. It’s a bit …. bittersweet, no? It is of course, a very unique situation, because very few countries’ leagues have both a national team and a club team in the same league. Usually, you support your club team for 80% of the season, and then when it comes to international breaks, you forget about your club for a bit and support your country. Young Lions are abit special I guess. I chose “Hide Your Pain Harold” as the cover pic because we pretend to smile about the Young Lions’ display but at the same time, we’re in pain because we know this was a major missed opportunity to put some points on the board. There’s tons of stuff to get into, and that’s without the usual Instat stats I like to use to supplement some of my points. For some reason, the Instat people are taking an age to come up with the stats for this game, so I decided – heck it, I’ll write my thoughts out without the stats anyway. But yes, tons of stuff to talk about, and I’ve picked out a few main points. Poor Officiating Right off the bat, I want to say this – criticising the referee for a shambolic penalty decision does not mean that I think the Sailors can just rub their hands with glee and just blame the referee for what happened. The two things are mutually exclusive. As Charmaine rightly pointed out in her post-match interview, if we created more chances, or took the few chances we had, the horrible penalty decision would not have any consequence. It would have been the difference between a 2-0 win or a 2-1 win. No big drama. However, a bad decision is still a bad decision – so let’s talk about why it is a bad decision. Once again, VAR rears its ugly head. We accept that referees are human and can make errors. However, when someone in the control room has time to rewind and agonise and deliberate over an incident from multiple angles, I don’t think it’s too much to expect higher standards. This decision was curious from start to finish – in fact, even before the penalty was awarded, you have to wonder why so much time was added on anyway. Take a look at the timestamp here. You’ve seen this a thousand times before – the keeper holds onto the ball for about 5 seconds or so, launches it high into the night sky, and the referee blows his whistle for full time. But no, not this ref. He decides to let Young Lions attack one more time by hook or by crook. 93:10, and the game still goes on. In fact, the Sailors almost scored from this after a defensive mix-up. 93:21 and you can see the ball high in the night sky here, after Super has cleared it back into YL’s half when they pumped it long. Once again – this is always a cue for the ref to go “Yup, thank you fellas, i’mma blow the whistle now, please hand me the ball”. Inexplicably, again no. By the time Young Lions get the freekick, it’s closer to 94 min than it is to 93 min. No justification for it at all – there was hardly any time-wasting by the Sailors. (EDIT (18 Apr 3pm) – I have since been educated by a friendly person in The Goal Difference Telegram chat that actually, the amount of stoppage time indicated is usually accurate as of the 88th minute. That is to say, if there are further stoppages between 88-90min, then it will be added on later as well. I wound back the tape and took a look – indeed Harhys did receive treatment for about a minute from the 89th min onwards, so I stand corrected, I have maligned the referee on this issue – he was entitled to play another minute. SORRY) As an aside, I was abit ticked off by Bernard Tan’s comments on this stoppage time issue in the Hougang game (even though the referee was absolutely spot on there to give that additional time). While Kiki’s injury and the time he took to receive treatment did contribute to added time BEYOND the allocated stoppage time, the rest of the injury stoppages that Bernard was referring to have already been accounted for in the 6min of stoppage time, so it was irrelevant to raise it again. Also surprising that he would surface when his officials made very controversial calls in both the Hougang and the Sailors game – but hey, he’s entitled to post on his own page. If you’re curious, you can go check it out, I replied to him and I hope he takes it the right way. It was unnecessary and dare I suggest, unprofessional, for him to slander Kiki Krajcek like that for no reason, especially given that he is President of FAS and he must be aware that his words carry some weight. Anyway, back to the Sailors. Sorry for that digression, I sometimes blog in a very unstructured way, but that’s cos I type whatever I think. Ok, aside from the referee unjustifiably adding on close more than 30 seconds for no reason when he had ample opportunity to blow the whistle,

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[Preview] Young Lions v LCS – Normal Service to Resume

The last time we met Young Lions, it was an absolute disaster. If you want to relive it, you can check out our post-match thoughts, and tactical analysis back then. We struggled to create any really good chances, and considering last season’s Young Lions were on the end of some really poor scorelines, to draw 1-1 with them was terrible. The expectation is that tonight’s game will be very different, and should result in a comfortable Sailors win. It is after all, the second-best attack in the league vs the second-worst defence. Let’s take a look at some of the differences between last season’s game and this season’s game. A More Settled Defence (than last season’s SG Cup game) We started a back four of Hafiz Nor (LB), Anu (CB), Amirul Adli (CB), and Haiqal Pashia (RB)) last season against Young Lions in the 1-1 draw. That’s ridiculous considering we had the likes of Iqram Rifqi and Hariss Harun on the bench. Surely we could also have played some youngsters who were natural defenders? We have no such problems coming into this game hopefully. Nur Adam was on the bench in the last game and may come in for Chris. Bill may also come in either in central defence or on the right, if Coach Risto wants to shuffle his pack a little bit considering this is the second game in a week. Other than that, it’s highly unlikely that we have to do what we did last season. One thing about our defending this season though, is that we are allowing a large number of shots from our opponents. It has been a recurring theme this season for Zharfan to have saved a lot of shots, even if sometimes it seems that the Sailors are allowing their opponents to take shots from long range. It’s not even close, the number of shots he has saved. On top of that, he tops the list for supersaves as well, which discredits my theory a little that most of the shots faced by the Sailors have been long-range speculative attempts. Hopefully, moving forward, Coach Risto finds a way for us to be less reliant on our keeper pulling off saves. This is a Better Young Lions Team Not only have this Young Lions team added two foreigners in Jun and Kan Kobayashi (not brothers, just a common Japanese surname), they also have Jacob Mahler back in the team after his recent suspension and a horrible injury layoff last season. Interestingly, Jun Kobayashi is leading the league in number of defensive challenges won, and ranks pretty highly in aerial challenges won as well. In their 8 games this season, they have had better xG than their opponents in 3 of the games. This has resulted in them picking up 1 win and 1 draw in their 8 games so far, which is far better than last year’s record where after 28 games in the league, they only won twice and drawn twice. They have also shown their mental strength in picking up these results. Both times they were behind – 1-0 against Hougang, and 2-0 against DPMM Brunei, but managed to get 2 late goals to put points on the board. LCS Attacking Options in Form The last difference I will touch on is that LCS attackers are currently in-form. Maxime is looking insane currently. His tally of 13 goal contributions so far is the highest in the league. It would be a brave man to bet against him notching at least a couple of goals/assists tonight. Abdul Rasaq has 5 goals this season from 5 games, and has already equalled his tally from the whole of last season. Diego Lopes has 2 goals and 5 assists from 7 appearances, and has a great understanding with Maxime. I do not envy the Young Lions defenders tomorrow if these 3 start. While Bernie didn’t score on his debut, he absolutely bodied one of the Hougang defenders during his time on the pitch. He also looked like he knew how to utilise his size to hold up the ball perfectly for his teammates. It was a debut with some promise, and you don’t get many better opponents than Young Lions to try to open your account for the season. Conclusion This is a must-win game given the profile of the opposition. Anything less than a win will invite a lot of debate about whether or not the Sailors are up for the fight. I think it is going to be comfortable, especially if we can get an early goal. COME ON YOU SAILORS! Score Prediction Joseph, Ethan, and myself predict the scores, and track our success in a table. Stay tuned to find out who is the prediction king! 3 points for exact scoreline predicted correctly, 2 points for predicting the winner and margin of victory correctly (but not the exact scoreline), and 1 point for predicting the outcome correctly (win, lose or draw). Eddy’s prediction: YL 0 LCS 6 Ethan’s prediction: YL 0 LCS 4 Joseph’s prediction: YL 1 LCS 4 And here’s the leaderboard – Written by Eddy Hirono If you’d like to support the work we do here at SailorFanTalk, you may want to visit https://ko-fi.com/sailorfantalk and leave us a tip!

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[Post-Match Thoughts] Five-Star Performance (Hougang 0 LCS 5)

Life is much easier, and writing is much easier when the Sailors win, and win in such fashion. If you thought that this game was a walk in the park (which was something we suggested in our preview), then you’d be both wrong and right. To help illustrate that, let’s take a look at the stats. Some very interesting stats. You would be forgiven for thinking that the Sailors were lucky to win the game if you look at the respective xG achieved by each team. However, that came down to two reasons – more patient chance creation, and better individual quality. More Patient Chance Creation 2.5 xG vs 2 xG suggests that Hougang created nearly as good chances as the Sailors did – however one look at the Shots stat changes that thought. Hougang took 25 shots, mostly speculative, while the Sailors were a bit more patient with their possession, and took only 15 shots. If you do some very basic back-of-the-napkin math, Hougang clocked in at 0.08xG per shot taken, while the Sailors clocked in at 0.17xG per shot taken – so each Sailors shot was twice as likely to make it into the back of the net. That probably accounts for the Sailors’ high passing stat as well. As much as Hougang are a possession-hungry team (this was only their 2nd out of 8 games where they have less possession than their opponents), the Sailors played more passes than Hougang, perhaps in a bid to fashion better chances for their forwards. I will now show you a comparison of Sailors shots against Hougang shots, with a particular emphasis on shots that are 0.20xG and above. Hougang’s shots above 0.20xG LCS’s shots above 0.20xG (Diego’s goal + 2 Abdul Rasaq goals) In fact, if you look at Hougang’s shot chart, 14 of their 25 shots came from non-threatening areas of the pitch. Of these 14 shots, only 4 made it on target. Perhaps with a little more patience, Hougang could have fashioned slightly better shooting opportunities. That being said – Coach Risto and his staff must be analysing the tape to see if they can limit the number of shots being taken. Even if these shots are from non-threatening range, how many times have we seen bad things happen just by virtue of the fact that the ball is in dangerous areas? A wicked deflection off a defender leaving a keeper stranded, an unsighted goalkeeper not seeing a shot till it’s too late because of the mass of bodies in front of him, an unlucky bounce off an uneven pitch (thank goodness TPY Stadium is no more), a save that is parried out to another attacker – the possibilities are endless. To achieve true domination and to allow for less variables in the game, we should be trying to limit our opponents from taking such shots. Looking at the graphic above, 11 of those shots were in a decent area, and 3 were on target. On another day, some of these will go in, or lead to major chaos. Better Individual Quality SPL Twitter, SPH, and the club’s official website all led with similar headlines – Maxime Lestienne stole the show. It’d take a real fool or contrarian to argue that Maxime didn’t have a good game. 2 goals, 2 assists, all of which where he looked a class apart from the rest on the pitch. He kicked things off with a stunning free kick, and wrapped things up with an unerring finish into the far corner after blitzing past the Hougang defence. In between, he was involved in what is becoming a trademark cutback for Abdul Rasaq to finish, and also a move straight from the futsal courts where Diego used him to hold up the ball and then release to him for an easy finish in the box. It’s now 5 goals, and 8 assists in 7 games for our Belgian superstar – the only game where he did not register a goal or an assist is the 4-0 defeat to Albirex where we were reduced to ten men for the majority of the game. Even opposition fans will concede that Maxime is a class apart, and this ties in to the point made earlier. I showed you the graphic with 3 of our goals being 0.20xG and above. Well, the other 2 goals were below 0.20xG and they were Maxime’s goals. One was the beautiful freekick that had Zaiful Nizam grasping at thin air, while the other was pretty underrated if you ask me. Media outlets described it as a “neat finish”, but I don’t think that does justice to the difficulty of the finish, especially given that Zaiful is a very accomplished keeper. Maxime basically put it into the only part of the goal where Zaiful would not be able to reach, and that finish, particularly while running at pace, is not an easy one. But the night wasn’t just about Maxime. Shoutout also to Zharfan, Abdul Rasaq, and maybe a surprise one in this list, Anu. Let me elaborate Zharfan In the post-match reactions, I spoke to a fan and assumed that he would name Maxime as Man of the Match, given he notched 2 goals and 2 assists. However, I was caught by surprise a little as he named Zharfan as his pick for Man of the Match. And that got me thinking – while the score was 5-0, games really can turn on moments. Hougang is a team low on confidence, but what would have happened if they managed to get one or two goals when the Sailors had not raced away to a 3-goal lead yet? That might have turned the game, and if you look back at the game, Zharfan did pull off some crucial saves, not least the double save from Sahil who absolutely thwacked the ball at goal from a narrow angle, which was followed up by a good parry when Gabriel Quak tried to curl

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[Preview] Hougang United v LCS – Walk in the Park?

The thing you should focus on most in this headline is the question mark. It is no surprise that LCS are huge favourites coming into this. While we stumbled last time out against Tampines Rovers, we must bear in mind that Tampines are unbeaten in a run that stretches all the way back 14 games to last season – they have been playing very well, and they were a tough opponent, as we illustrated in our preview. We have lost to Albirex and Tampines so far this season, but in all our other games, we have done enough to get the win. Some wins have been more convincing than others, but at least we are getting results, and I don’t think we played badly in those games. Contrast that with Hougang United, who have lost 5 of the 6 games they have played, and in 3 of those losses, they even took the lead first. In fact if you look at their only victory this term, their 3-2 win against Balestier Khalsa, they came close to throwing away a 2-goal lead there too, when they allowed Balestier to come back to 2-2, but managed to grab a late winner. It is perhaps an understatement to say that they have been thoroughly unconvincing this campaign. Soooooo walk in the park for the Sailors? Or walk in the park but then you look into the trees and see a pontianak (a type of ghost that loves hanging out in trees)? Let’s try to break it down. Comparing 2023 to 2022 Trying to diagnose Hougang’s problems is a tricky task – you don’t quite know where to start. Let’s take a look at the stats comparison – They are down in almost every statistic, except number of passes per game, and pass accuracy (which feed into a superior ball possession stat too). Worryingly, their chances created and number of key passes is almost half – which suggests that while they are holding the ball, they are not translating it to goalscoring chances – it is inefficient football, or “sterile possession”, a term used to describe late Wenger-era Arsenal, where the teams were accused of holding the ball for the sake of holding the ball. But why is this the case? No Shahdan, no Krajcek One possible reason is that the team really misses their key players. Krajcek’s absence is perhaps the easiest factor to pinpoint. Just this season, Hougang looked good against Geylang in the first half. Then, Krajcek went off, and they promptly collapsed and ended up losing that game. In 2 league games this season, Krajcek has 1 goal and 2 assists, a total of 3 goal contributions. Despite not playing since then, Krajcek has been involved in half of the total number of goals scored by Hougang – they have only scored 6 goals this season. This is a major problem. If you look at last season’s stats as well, Krajcek has 12 goals and 17 assists from 33 games. That’s almost 1 goal contribution per game. Take that out from the team and attacking-wise, you’re bound to suffer. Defensively, Krajcek also averaged 5.3 tackles and 4.4 interceptions per game. You’re perhaps beginning to see the real influence that Krajcek has on the team now – not just offensively, but defensively. This is why there was an excited flurry of activity near where I was seated in the Geylang v Hougang game when Krajcek went off – as the punters around me started talking about the possibility of having a wager or two on Geylang to come back in the game. Krajcek’s influence is obvious for all to see – he is the one who starts the moves, is in the middle of the moves, and also the one who finishes the moves. Hougang’s acquisition of Shahdan could perhaps have helped alleviate the creative burden on Krajcek’s shoulders, but it is unfortunate that Shahdan himself has also been injured. Shahdan had 5 goals and 6 assists last season for the Sailors, and chipped in with an average of 0.66 key passes per game. This could have been helpful for Hougang, but he is also someone we do not need to contend with tonight. Brian Ferreira Simply put, his output is not good enough. When you watch him, it’s very easy to get frustrated, even as a neutral. 7 matches, no goals, 1 assist. That is not good enough for someone who is tasked with leading the attack or linking midfield to attack. Add to that the shocking stat that he has only made one key pass all season, and his lackadaisical approach to moving to get the ball from his teammates, or win the ball back, and it is no surprise that my friends who are Hougang fans are calling for his head. Regardless of whether he is a foreign player or a local player – the above stats are simply not good enough. But of course, stats don’t always tell the full story, so sometimes the eye test comes into play. The eye test tells me that Brian Ferreira can’t be bothered to get the ball if it involves a full sprint. He is often jogging, or even walking, and that makes it hard for his teammates to get him the ball. Interestingly, the last Hougang match I watched, when they surrendered a 1-0 lead to lose 2-1 to Tanjong Pagar, Brian Ferreira ran a lot more, and had a new determination to his game that I had not seen before in his previous 6 appearances. I am not sure why there has been such a change – it could be tactical, it could be that he was previously dealing with an injury, but whatever it is, hopefully tonight we see the Brian Ferreira of the last 6 games, and not the Brian Ferreira of the Tanjong Pagar game. Shifting the Focus back to Sailors Enough about Hougang United – let’s look at our own Sailors. Doubtlessly, the

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[Post-Match Thoughts] Not Good Enough (Tampines 4 LCS 3)

It took a while to write this one because work was busy af. If I am being completely honest with myself, perhaps a part of me just knew that this was gonna be painful to write. To lose this game by 1 goal only felt like a major stroke of luck – and I am not just talking about Glenn Kweh’s exquisitely-taken volley which gave us an undeserved glimmer of hope. Really, what a goal. It reminded me of Robin Snake van Persie’s goal against Charlton all those years ago, just of course, at the wrong end. It was a rare moment of joy in what was otherwise a terrible game to sit through. At no point did I feel that the Sailors deserved to win the game. We played well for 8 minutes, deservedly took the lead with a sublime pass from Maxime Lestienne (of course), and Shawal Anuar got a goal on his first start for the club. After that, it was just terrible to watch. We were so so passive, and although the fans tried their best to keep chanting and keep encouraging the team, I could audibly hear the frustration growing amongst the supporters. I put off looking at the Instat statistics for a long time, because I was afraid of what I would see. But here goes – a stat attack: Out-shot, out-passed, out-fought – the stats confirm what the eyes tell us. I think if I wanted to write all my observations and list all my disappointments, it’d take an eternity, so I will limit myself to two or three main points. I will also highlight some positives – ok I’ll start with this because I’ll be done in a jiffy. So, let’s get the positives out of the way. Nathan Mao Huge positive, this. Earlier this season, Sailors fans were introduced to the talents of 16 year-old Jonan Tan. On Friday night, it was the turn of an even younger prospect – Nathan Mao. Nathan was only 15 years and 5 days old when he made his debut, in the process breaking the record for youngest debutant in the SPL, previously held by Young Lions defender, Raoul Suhaimi (who I am a big fan of). Nathan came on late, and I think most of us thought that this was just a chance for the young lad to get some minutes – and it probably was. I don’t think Coach Risto sent him on thinking that he would make a difference and help us clawback a 2-goal lead. But it didn’t matter to young Nathan, who made the most of his time spent on the pitch. Within seconds, you could tell he wasn’t just gonna see out the minutes meaninglessly and just be a stat. He came on, and made incisive runs to try to get the ball. He was also a prolific “scanner”, immediately checking over his shoulder repeatedly to see where the space was, and where any potential opponents may be. For those who may be less acquainted with “scanning”, or “visual exploratory frequency”, this article may be of help. He managed to win 2 free kicks in his time on the pitch, including the incident where he got crunched by Milos Zlatkovic, who decided not to take any risks, even though the lad was 14 years old barely a week ago. Congrats Milos, you can add child abuse to your CV (just a joke, calm down). A proud moment for the boy and his family I am sure, and it was nice to see that regardless of what happened in the game, the Sailors fans were in full voice welcoming Nathan to the pitch and cheering his every touch. Nathan is one to watch! Anu In a match crying out for some movement, some aggression, it was kinda shocking that it took until the 84th minute for Anu to come on. Even though we never stopped singing for the team, it was clear to us once Faris scored that we were not gonna launch any sort of comeback. Anu’s introduction gave us something to shout about. And when Nathan came on too, suddenly there was movement, and even though we fans never truly believed we would get the equaliser, the heart and the effort made it easier for us to be loud and proud. Fans have a responsibility of lifting the team when they are down, but I truly believe that it’s a two-way process – the players also have to give something for the fans to hold on to, or the fans will lose steam. Anu gave us that. Now let’s move on to the negatives. Hariss Harun Believe me, I hate to do this. As a 35 year-old, I grew up supporting football not old enough to really take in Fandi’s talents, or enjoy watching the whole career of legends such as Nazri Nasir, Rafi Ali, Aide Iskandar, etc. So my hero growing up was Hariss. I have Hariss shirts at home and I think it is clear that he is no longer as mobile as he used to be. Thing about Hariss is that he still is able to affect games with his experience, and his decision-making. His leadership qualities are also held up by many as a reason to continue playing him in the national team and in the Sailors team. As recently as a few weeks back, when we spoke to Hami Syahin, he mentioned how Hariss actually gives a sense of calmness to the players when they defend transitions. Unfortunately, I think the Tampines game is one where he was really shown up. On transitions, it did not look like Hariss knew how to stop Tampines. On more than a few occasions, instead of pressing up to the ball, us fans were disappointed to see Hariss decide to take up a conservative position as he actively jogged away from the ball instead of trying to win it. This resulted in Tampines having a lot

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[Preview] Tampines Rovers v LCS – Stopping the Top Team in the League

If you read the title of this post and felt it was familiar, you’re right. Our last post was titled “Stopping the Top-Scorers in the League”. Balestier Khalsa came in to the last game as top-scorers of the league with a swashbuckling style of football that ensured goals at both ends, but after a convincing 3-0 win against them, we are now the top-scorers in the league, with 12 goals after 5 games. Leaving aside the 4-0 defeat against Albirex, we have scored three goals in every game and generally looked comfortable, if not fantastic. Why are Tampines the top team in the league though? Through a combination of watching the matches, combing through the stats, and talking to my fellow fans of the SPL, I had hoped to conclude that it’s because of luck. However, it really isn’t. They are controlling their games well, scoring goals, and Faris has really found his groove. Bad news for us. Tampines in Control There’s a whole bunch of stats up there for you to take notice of, but I try to focus on Tampines’s very impressive average Opponent’s xG of 0.67. This probably goes a long way to explaining how they have kept all those clean sheets, including against Albirex. Their defence looks a lot more settled than at the same stage last season, where they had already conceded 9 in their first 5 games. Credit that to the addition of Milos Zlatkovic maybe, but my opinion is that it’s more than just that. Tampines are in control. They have a very impressive ball possession percentage of 63%, and an accurate passing percentage of 87%. This alone does not always tell the full story as there are teams that achieve high passing percentages because they just pass the ball aimlessly around the back without actually going forward or trying to create anything. This is why I included the last stat in the table above – entrances to the final third. This shows that as much as Tampines like to knock the ball around at the back, they also do get forward, and do in fact get the ball into the final third far more often than the Sailors do. It is pretty telling as well, that going into this match, Zharfan Rohaizad has the most saves of any goalkeeper this season. In previous articles, I gave praise to the Sailors defence for mostly limiting shots from our opponents to speculative efforts from outside the box, but conceding a high number of shots on target can still potentially bite us in the ass, as it leaves us vulnerable to any number of things that could happen from those shots – keeper blunders, rebound goals, a sense of unease spreading through the defence and the fans, etc. Faris Ram(li) Has Got it Going On Faris Ramli is a man on fire, and a man with a point to prove. Before we talk about his goalscoring achievements this season, I feel I am obliged to say that Faris is a real gem of a person. He was released by the Sailors but unlike others (or maybe just one player) who were released, he was professional till the end, and never moaned and whined about not getting a new contract. I mean, that’s what a contract is, isn’t it? It works both ways. I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again, a long contract is a double-edged sword for a player. While it guarantees financial security, it can also mean that they will find it hard to get offers for them when they are playing well, because the club can just point to the contract and say “nope, if you want my guy, you’re gonna have to pay what we want”. Even if there were some hard feelings about not being retained, Faris thanked the fans, still maintains a good relationship with us, and bade farewell to us with a cracking goal against Dortmund. (I am just jinxing myself, aren’t I? He is gonna score a last-minute winner, run the length of OTH and do a knee slide right in front of the LCS fans? Hahahaha hope not!) But back to the football. Faris Ramli, 4 goals in 5 games, what a start. Add to that 2 assists as well to Boris Kopitovic, and you can see that he is really in top form. For context, Faris only scored a total of 4 goals last season for LCS (including cup games). I am happy for him that he has been able to rehabilitate his career and his reputation a little, even if it sucks that he is doing it in the black and yellow of Tampines Rovers. Let’s hope he doesn’t score tonight, and if he does, let’s hope he doesn’t celebrate it that hard. Diego and Maxime But it’s not all doom and gloom, is it? Of course it isn’t. This will be the first time that Diego and Maxime start a match against Tampines together, and as far as I know, they are not weighed down by any injuries or niggles. This is something that we should be excited about. As much as Tampines’ defence has improved, we all know what Diego and Maxime can do together. Just ask Daegu last season. This season, the pair of them have started off really well too and are both at their creative best. I’ll let the numbers speak for themselves. Those stats are not even funny. They lead the league in terms of accurate key passes – meaning passes that lead to a shot being taken. The gulf between Maxime and the rest of the league seems funny, but it’s true. And we all know how difficult teams have found it to keep this pair at bay. With a combined total of 8 assists between them, I am very excited to see what they can do against this new-look Tampines defence. I only wish we had Kodai Tanaka to gobble up these chances. If

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[Post-Match Thoughts] Stop Taniguchi, Stop Balestier (LCS 3 Balestier 0)

Older fans will remember Hiro Nakamura of Heroes coming back from the future to say “Save the cheerleader, save the world”. If you just read that and have no idea what the hell I am talking about, you’re too young and I am very envious of your youth. That was a phrase from the hit TV show in 2006, where basically one of the main characters came back from the future to tell the characters of the show that the cheerleader was pivotal to their chances of saving the world. For some reason, the Sailors stopping Taniguchi made me feel like bringing back that old reference. In our pre-match preview we talked about the importance of stopping the dynamic duo of Daniel Goh and Ryoya Taniguchi. As it turned out, I felt the overwhelming thought that kept coming back to me was how committed the Sailors were to stop the counter-attacks from Balestier. We did so in two ways – first, by not giving the ball away as much, and second, by running like madmen back to stop the counter-attacks. The First Step – Not Giving The Ball Away The Sailors achieved an impressive 89% passing rate from 493 passes, which helped them keep 59% possession. What was once again interesting was that the Sailors again decided against crossing the ball into the box, and always passed around, looking for a better opening. At times, it meant recycling the ball through to Super and Lionel Tan, but if they had to, they did it. Of course, this isn’t rocket science, but a ball into the box, if cleared, will play right into Balestier’s hands. You can picture it. Ball drops to Kozar, plays a quick pass to Taniguchi, who switches it out to the right wing for the electric Daniel Goh to run down the wing and cross for Shuhei Hoshino to miss. Ok scratch that last part, that was me being mean to Shuhei for his form in front of goal so far this season. But you get it. By not giving the ball away, we dramatically reduced the number of chances Balestier had to run at us – and the best evidence of that is just by looking at Taniguchi’s numbers. Let’s show you a comparison of his numbers before the Sailors game, and during the Sailors game. That’s how quiet we kept him. All the above three stats were his lowest of the season. He was nowhere near as influential as he was in recent games, and as a result, Balestier suffered and were unable to create as many chances as they usually do. Only two real chances come to mind – the early chance for Daniel Goh which was well-saved by Zharfan, and the moment in the second half where Shuhei inexplicably was allowed an eternity to dwell on the ball, settle himself, and then shoot, while in the box. Zharfan once again proved the hero. The Second Step – Running Back to Stop Counters In previous articles on this site, both Zach and I have highlighted that there seems to be a little bit of unwillingness to track back when it comes to our attackers. That was not in evidence in the game against Balestier. Whether it was Coach Risto’s instruction, or the players’ own initiative – there was an extra desire, it felt, to win the ball back and stop Balestier’s counter-attacks. Perhaps that is the biggest compliment I can pay to Balestier – their attacks are so dangerous that all 11 men felt a need to come back and really help out in defence. If you look at Rasaq’s heat map, you will see what I mean. For a forward to put in such a shift in defence, it’s remarkable and is a testament to how hard the team worked to stop Balestier. You can see that not only was Rasaq active in attack, he also seemed to spend quite a lot of time in midfield and even defence. Along with putting his body in there as a screen for the defence, he also managed to win two tackles in the game, and I remember one stopping a rather promising attack from Balestier. He wasn’t alone. Diego and Maxime also put in a good shift on defence and that contributed to the clean sheet – as much as Zharfan’s steady saves. The return of Zulqarnaen Suzliman Mamat ‘s return is a welcome one. He has been out of regular action for a long time – his last start was in July 2022, and so it was great that he managed to get through the full 90min and contribute to a clean sheet. That will do wonders for his confidence. We spoke to him after the game, and he admitted that at first he was a little nervous after this long-awaited start, but he certainly grew into the game. His stats from this game were quite impressive. All this on his first start in so long? Very impressive. We will need him to be in top form, because other than him, the options at right back are kinda thin. It’s either him, Arshad Shamim, or Bill Mahmadou – but Mamat is the obvious one with the most experience and so should be looking to lock down that slot. If he can keep up his form there, then it will also allow Hafiz Nor to concentrate on wreaking havoc further up the pitch, rather than being brought back to be a right-back again, as he was played last season. With Kodai’s injury, it is even more important that Hafiz Nor stays as one of the wing options, so that Shawal Anuar can be deployed in some games as a lone forward. Conclusion In conclusion, a good outing for the whole team. From back to front, everyone played their part. I thought Lionel and Super were outstanding, while the overall energy and effort also helped ensure that Balestier could not play their usual game. Back

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[Preview] LCS v Balestier Khalsa – Stopping the Top-Scorers in the League

Before every game, we will do a short preview and share some of our thoughts, and also predictions. Starting this season, all 3 of us at SailorFanTalk will give you our predictions, and we will track these over the course of the year. 3 points for exact scoreline predicted correctly, 2 points for predicting the winner and margin of victory correctly (but not the exact scoreline), and 1 point for predicting the outcome correctly (win, lose or draw). Balestier Khalsa are the top-scorers in the SPL. Yes, you read that right. It is very curious, but whenever you speak to anyone about Balestier, you would think they are the worst ever team (except Young Lions of course). Everyone automatically writes them off. This season is no different. I go around asking people for predictions all the time before Sailors’ games, and unsurprisingly, this match has had the most lopsided scoreline predictions so far. I’ve had people tell me 4-1, 6-0, 7-0. Which is strange, considering we are missing Kodai Tanaka, who was supposed to bear the goalscoring burden. People must really think that Balestier suck. But they really don’t. But back to the headline – let’s dive deeper into this and take a look at what’s changed, because last season, they were the second-lowest scorers. Of course, Young Lions were the lowest scorers – no prizes for guessing that. This Is Not Last Season’s Balestier Khalsa So far this season, they have picked up 2 wins against the Young Lions and DPMM (after the Bruneian side went down to 10 men). However, they were also arguably unlucky to lose to Hougang after coming back from 2 goals down. And they have scored 10 goals, did I say that already? That’s 1 more than us, and amazingly, Shuhei Hoshino, their reliable source of goals over the years has only scored 1 goal, and Masahiro Sugita has also not been playing ever since he got injured in the first game of the season. If you take a look at the stats this season versus last season, you will see that not only are they scoring more, this seems to be a direct result of them passing more, passing the ball more accurately, and holding the ball much more than last season as well. This could be a result of Alen Kozar’s signing giving them a bit more control in midfield and linking up the defence and attack better. This could also be a result of them not playing on the potato patch that is Toa Payoh’s stadium field anymore, which allows them to play a more controlled short passing game. The uptick in goals can also be attributed of course to the deadly duo of Daniel Goh and Ryoya Taniguchi – because as much as the passing is better this year, the xG is only marginally better, which indicates that the finishing this year is deadlier. Daniel Goh and Ryoya Taniguchi – Dynamic Duo This has been a good season for Daniel Goh. He has 2 goals and 1 assist, and has looked absolutely electric down the right flank. He seems to have really mastered the art of timing his runs this year, while his teammates are also searching for him much more regularly. Look out for this trademark move tomorrow if you’re at the stadium – facing their own goal, a pass will be played in to either Shuhei Hoshino or Ryoya Taniguchi dropping a little deeper to escape the attention of our centre-backs. Without looking, they will attempt to play a long diagonal in behind Chris van Huizen for Daniel Goh to chase. I can almost guarantee this will happen, especially if CvH pushes up into attack as he usually does. Speaking of Ryoya Taniguchi, he has 4 goals and 1 assist from 4 games, and he is an absolute livewire on the pitch. Whether we win or not will depend a lot on whether we can keep him out. Last season, he scored a hattrick against us in their 5-3 win which effectively ended our fight for the title. This season he has shown no signs of stopping – scoring a perfect hattrick (left foot, right foot, header) against DPMM to snatch victory for them at Jalan Besar Stadium. Taniguchi and Daniel Goh were also unlucky not to combine for a goal against Tampines, with Daniel Goh blazing over the bar when presented with a good chance in the box after a good run and pass from Taniguchi. Interestingly, Taniguchi has a slight preference towards playing on the right – so this combination will really test CvH and Super. See his heat map below for evidence of this. Honourable mention also of course, to Ho Wai Loon, who has 2 goals and 2 assists this season. Will the old boy come back to haunt us? Not All Doom and Gloom However, perhaps now is the right time to also tell you that aside from the Young Lions, no side has conceded as many goals as Balestier Khalsa. Their 10 goals scored is matched by their 10 goals conceded. Perhaps a result of their more attacking approach, Balestier have often been caught outnumbered at the back. Defending transitions does not seem to be their forte as well. This is what gives me quite a bit of hope going into tonight’s game. If we can counter-attack with pace as we did against Geylang and Tanjong Pagar, then we should be able to really hurt their defence. An interesting stat from the official SPL site – our Sailors have the best conversion rate of any team this season (22%). I alluded to this in a previous article, saying that we are patient in attack and prefer to create better chances rather than shoot on sight – this perhaps explains this stat, and also why Kodai’s goals this season have been tap-ins. (Sigh, Kodai. Sigh. Poor, poor thing. Please get well soon.) If we stay patient, the movement of our attackers should

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[Post-Match Thoughts] Three and Easy (LCS 3 Geylang 0)

There were a few hairy moments, but in the end, the result never felt in doubt. Let’s hit you with a stat attack first – which may make it look like it was abit less comfortable than it was. Now that you’ve had some time to make your own snap judgments of the respective teams and what they did well, I leave you with a few thoughts. Zharfan’s Impact on the Game Zharfan had a good game. He saved 9 shots, and while most of them were from non-threatening areas, every shot/chance/interaction does present a keeper with the chance to screw up – and he did not. The same could not be said of Ridhwan Fikri, who had a very nervy game. Not only did he concede a penalty, his ill-advised rushes out of the box, coupled with the lack of composure in those situations, led to pretty disastrous results. Some of these were punished, some weren’t. He could also arguably have done better with Hafiz Nor and Rasaq’s shots, given that he managed to touch them. Back to Zharfan, look at the areas where those shots were coming in. Of the 9 saves, only 4 of these were from inside the box, and 3 of them were from reallly far out. 1 shot stands out in particular, and that’s the dot that is right next to the penalty spot. This was when Iqbal Hussain was given way too much time to sweep a shot on target, but luckily for us, he hit it tamely and Zharfan caught the ball well. For the other 3 shots on target in the box, the Geylang players were surrounded by Sailors defenders, so the angle did not favour the Geylang players. Zharfan will have tougher tests to come, but it is definitely encouraging for him to pick up his 1st clean sheet, especially after the chastening result last week against Albirex and the mistake he made against DPMM. Sailors Stay Patient and Create Better Chances While Geylang sought to test Zharfan from everywhere, you can see that the Sailors opted for a more patient approach, waiting to get into the box before shooting. This in the end contributed to the Sailors win. You can see this in the xG comparison between the teams, which stands at 2.5 for the Sailors v 0.94 for Geylang. Even if you remove 0.75 from the Sailors tally because it is inflated by the penalty award, it still is a healthy differential of 1.75 v 0.94. It was also important especially I feel, for Chris van Huizen to finally get off the mark in terms of assists. More and more you will see in games that opponents like to collapse their defence into the box, and stay compact and narrow to avoid being sliced open with a Maxime/Hami pass, or a Diego/Shawal dribble. It is then important in such games that Chris is able to punish these defences for defending just the width of their box, with his trusty crossing. Chris is a rare Singaporean player who can get some real whip on his crosses whether on his left or his right foot. On Wednesday, the second goal was created by patient play from two players – Adam Swandi and Maxime Lestienne. First, Lestienne passed up a chance to shoot, when Ridhwan rushed out and made a hash of his clearance. See below. He could have chosen to shoot from there, but he did not. He dribbled all the way into the box, and then instead of whipping a blind cross into the danger zone, he had the presence of mind to pick out Adam Swandi on the edge of the box. Even from here, you could have expected Adam Swandi to perhaps try to curl a shot in to the far post – but he turns that down, and instead waits for Chris van Huizen to provide support on the left. CvH is not even in the frame above yet, but Adam buys time and then plays him in for him to cross to Diego to score. This pattern of trying to create better shooting chances was also repeated in the last goal of the game, where Maxime turned down a chance to shoot, and instead squared the ball back for Rasaq to smack into the net. In light of Kodai potentially missing the whole season, the Sailors may need to continue creating high-quality chances, rather than quantity, now that we lack an elite finisher. Shoutout to Bill Mahmadou Quick shoutout to Bill Mahmadou, who only played half a game, but whose contribution indirectly led to the first two goals being scored. If you watch the highlights of 1-0 and 2-0, you will see that it seems like Bill was targeted by Geylang as a pressing trigger. Each time he got the ball, two or three Geylang players converged on him, trying to put pressure on him. This didn’t work as intended, as both times he managed to get a crucial pass away – first to Diego Lopes in acres of space, and then to Maxime Lestienne for him to launch an aerial through-pass behind the high backline (who had pressed up also to support Geylang’s press). It was incredible footwork and composure, especially for someone so young and so tall/big. Bill also gave the supporters something to cheer about when he absolutely bodied a Geylang winger into touch with a strong bodycheck. He not only passed the eye-test, he put up some really encouraging stats as well, despite only playing 45min. The stats back up what we see. He was efficient in using the ball, won most of his challenges, and even got in the occasional dribble. A very encouraging outing for the big man! Hopefully his injury is not serious, because he is one of the few U23 players we have who has really cemented a first-team spot. With Nur Adam also out, we will need Bill to stay fit. Frivolous Thought of the

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[PREVIEW] LCS v Geylang International – Bouncing Back is Crucial

Before every game, we will do a short preview and share some of our thoughts, and also predictions. Starting this season, all 3 of us at SailorFanTalk will give you our predictions, and we will track these over the course of the year. 3 points for exact scoreline predicted correctly, 2 points for predicting the winner and margin of victory correctly (but not the exact scoreline), and 1 point for predicting the outcome correctly (win, lose or draw). Both teams come into this game on the back of a damaging loss. The Eagles went down meekly to Tanjong Pagar United after claiming in this Instagram post that they were “mentality monsters”, while our very own Sailors suffered a harsh red card, but even so, put in a performance that couldn’t really give the fans something to be energised about. I think we all felt that being down to 10 men, we wish the Sailors would show a bit more fight – but we went down and looked very tame. For more on this, check out Zach’s piece yesterday, where he particularly examined the lead-up to the 2-0 goal which put the game beyond our reach, even before the half-time whistle sounded. I don’t think there’s very much left for me to say in this piece, but here are a few talking points – How Will We Line Up in Attack? Unless you’ve been living under a rock, you will have heard by now that Kodai Tanaka has been ruled out for the season. Who starts in attack then? Will it be Shawal as a false 9? Maxime as a false 9? Haiqal Pashia brought into the side to accommodate this? Noone knows for sure how we’ll line up. There’s even the off-chance that Adam Swandi comes in to play a floating left-winger, so that Maxime can take the position up top. Whatever combination we settle on, what is clear is that the Sailors are still supposed to be favourites against a Geylang side with a much smaller budget. Just take a look at the potential line-up we can field: Zharfan Hafiz Nor, Bill, Lionel, CVH Hami, Hariss Haiqal Pashia, Diego, Maxime Shawal The above is a very strong line-up still, and certainly has a good mix of ability and experience that will start as favourites against the Eagles. As such, I hope that we get a positive result tonight, and if we don’t, please let’s not use Kodai’s absence as an excuse. Is Anu suspended? Who replaces him? There are a few ways to replace Anu, who is suspended for 2 matches as a result of his straight red card. One way is as shown in the line-up above, where Bill tucks into the middle, and Hafiz Nor or Arshad comes in at rightback. Super, our new signing, may also come in, though that’d be surprising unless he was already training with us prior to his unveiling. Hariss may also drop back into defence, and that would then see either Rusyaidi Salime or Adam Swandi coming on. I would worry that the midfield may lack some bite if it is Adam Swandi + Hami Syahin, two creative types. I guess we’ll see what Coach Risto comes up with. Geylang has not looked impressive so far These may very well be famous last words, but Geylang have not looked impressive thus far. Their two wins came against Young Lions and Hougang United. Young Lions are Young Lions – you are expected to beat them. Hougang United led when Kiki Krajcek was on the field. Once Kiki went off, the initiative swung to Geylang, but even then, they did not create a consistent threat in front of goal. They had to rely on some uncharacteristically poor goalkeeping from Zaiful Nizam to parry the ball into his own net after a shot from range from Vincent Bezecourt. That being said – we are coming off a 4-0 defeat, and Geylang had our number last season, performing well in every game they played against us. Conclusion Sailors should win this and I think if we are serious about our title ambitions, we have to win our games on our own patch, especially against Geylang. Score Prediction As mentioned above, this will be a continuing feature as the season goes on. Joseph, Ethan, and myself will predict the scores, and track our success in a table. Stay tuned to find out who is the prediction king! 3 points for exact scoreline predicted correctly, 2 points for predicting the winner and margin of victory correctly (but not the exact scoreline), and 1 point for predicting the outcome correctly (win, lose or draw). Eddy’s prediction: Sailors 2 Geylang 1 Ethan’s prediction: Sailors 2 Geylang 1 Joseph’s prediction: Sailors 2 Geylang 0 We are a little pressed for time, so we will do the leaderboard sometime later! Written by Eddy Hirono [UPDATE]: Get your new jerseys on Shopee!!!! If you click on the links below and make a purchase, SFT gets commission of like a dollar plus, and you don’t pay more. Show your support for the work we do! And don’t forget to use your vouchers if you are a member. Check out Lion City Sailors Football Club 2023 SPL Home Jersey for $65.00. Get it on Shopee now! https://shope.ee/5panI7G7On?share_channel_code=2 Check out Lion City Sailors Football Club 2023 SPL Away Jersey for $65.00. Get it on Shopee now! https://shope.ee/5AL6Uq6bH0?share_channel_code=2 Check out Lion City Sailors Football Club 2023 SPL Purple GK Jersey for $65.00. Get it on Shopee now! (this one is our favourite!) https://shope.ee/d0Nxqsd7?share_channel_code=2 Check out Lion City Sailors Football Club 2023 SPL Green GK Jersey for $65.00. Get it on Shopee now! https://shope.ee/5fHWk5vXwf?share_channel_code=2

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