August 2024

[Post-Match Thoughts] Some Improvement, Needs More Improvement (Sailors 2 Geylang 2)

Well, that was expected wasn’t it? As predicted in the preview, Tomoyuki Doi and Noor Ali would give us some trouble and a win was not going to be straightforward. There can be some regret this morning because even though I think we didn’t play well enough to deserve all 3 points, we were in a good position to take the 3 points after two moments of quality from the Bart-Maxime pair that led to two goals. On the bright side, Tampines also dropped points, unexpectedly to a resurgent Hougang team, so their lead doesn’t widen. We could have gone top of the table though! Let’s dive right into the post-match thoughts. Bart and Maxime Let’s start with the positives. Moments of quality from the pair of them, a goal and an assist each. Bart was pushed and bodied on the way to scoring his goal but managed to just keep his feet enough to poke the ball in past Rudy Khairullah – just brilliant. Maxime did Maxime things – a goal and an assist for him a just reward for his efforts yesterday. Oh, another positive, while I was away in Jordan, I could hear from the stream that the fans were really loud, and importantly, still having a lot of fun. Just amazing. Both Teams Sloppy Perhaps due to recent results, both teams seemed to lack any attacking fluency in the first half. Coach Ranko touched on this in the post-match interview, saying that the decision-making wasn’t the best sometimes when they were attacking Geylang and were presented with 4v4 opportunities or 4v3 opportunities. I’d go a bit further than that, I’d say not only was the decision-making sometimes poor, it was the execution as well, even if the decision was correct. How many times did we see what was seemingly an easy pass roll out for a throw-in, or be hit with so little pace such that the Geylang defender could intercept it easily? Thankfully for us, this disease seemed to hit Geylang too in the first half. That was a major contributing factor towards both teams’ disjointed performances and I can’t recall any shots of note in the first half. The second half got better and we created more chances, but unfortunately we failed to finish some of them. Is Finishing the Issue? Coach Ranko also touched on the finishing not being as good as we hoped for, indicating that had we been able to finish better, we would have won. I don’t necessarily agree that finishing is the issue. Did we really test Rudy Khairullah and Hairul Syirhan a lot? I don’t think so. Two occasions come to mind when we talk about better finishing. First, the Lennart Thy header off a fantastic Maxime cross – that was eventually saved by Hairul Syirhan expertly when he jumped into the air and made himself huge. Second, the Shawal Anuar chance when he had the whole goal to aim at but only succeeded in shooting at the Geylang defender on the line, with the goalkeeper taken out of the equation. Do we score these on another day? I’d say yes. We’ve been unlucky in a sense that for the past two games, the opposition goalkeeper has pulled off an insane save at a crucial point of the game. However, you can’t just blame luck. I’d say that the bigger problem is that we are not creating more clear-cut chances. Games like these happen – your opposing goalkeeper will suddenly have the best game of his life, your striker might miss a sitter, you might hit the post, the ball takes a weird bobble in front of goal, etc. A team like Sailors should be able to shake that off, and just go about creating the next chance, and the next, and the next. Is that too much to ask for? I don’t think so. I think with the calibre of players at our disposal, we should work out a system where we are doing it more consistently rather than just playing on the break, which we did for about 2/3 of the game yesterday. Is Lionel Tan the Issue? Lionel Tan is as much at fault for the defeat yesterday as Shawal Anuar and Lennart Thy, and arguably I’d say even Rui Pires. I know it’s a cliched statement, but you win and lose together as a team. Was it a rash challenge by Lionel, going in too fast and too strong and misjudging the situation? Yes, it undoubtedly was. But that’s one bad decision. How can a player be scapegoated for making one bad decision in a game which requires you to make hundreds of decisions over the course of 90min? I think as fans, we have a tendency to pick out easy targets. I am not immune to this as well. I tend to fixate on goalkeeper errors, or centreback errors more than those errors made further upfield. When a ball is passed from the centreback into midfield, and it’s underhit, I immediately blame the centreback. The crowd also shouts “HEY JUST CLEAR IT!” It’s natural, we don’t like danger, we don’t like the uncertainty that comes with it. In the example of build-up play, I’d say that there’s a larger picture in mind – certain risks have to be taken and when we all calm down and think about it, we realise that we can’t be clearing every ball. Sometimes, we need to take those risks to draw our opponents onto us, and create the space that we need to attack. But back to Lionel and his challenge. It was a poor decision, but in my opinion, no poorer than the many decisions made by his teammates over the course of 90min which led to us only having a 1-goal advantage. Song, for example, how many times did he give the ball away? I’ll dedicate a section to him. There are some worrying signs, in my opinion. Rui Pires – what I like

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[Preview] Lion City Sailors v Geylang International (Might Not Be The End of Our Woes)

That’s a sad title, isn’t it? Amazingly, despite missing our chance to go top last week, tonight presents another chance for our Sailors to do so. For that to happen, we’ll need to beat Geylang, and hope that somehow Tampines fails to take all three points when they face Hougang. The latter is highly unlikely, despite Hougang’s recent resurgence in form, but depressingly, I am going to predict that our Sailors won’t be able to pick up all three points against Geylang anyway. Let’s dive right into the preview. Lack of Rotation Costing Us Rotation is a word I have mentioned quite a few times this season in preview articles. Why I have been banging that drum repeatedly is because I feared that the fixture congestion coming up would lead to tired performances and worse, injuries. Of the 12 games played in the league so far, all 12 have seen Maxime Lestienne starting. I know he’s our biggest star, and he leads the Sailors both in goals and assists, but surely we can’t keep playing him and still expect his performances to be top-notch week in week out? To make things worse, sometimes we find ourselves in a comfortable lead, and still persist in leaving him on the pitch – as we did for the entirety of the 7-1 thrashing of Hougang. Can we not trust our bench options earlier on in games when we are already comfortably leading? Can we consider leaving him out of the team if we’re playing Tanjong Pagar for example? What does it say about us if we cannot be confident of beating Tanjong Pagar without Maxime in the side? Questions for us to think about. To make matters worse, not trusting your bench players also then means that when they do need to step up and contribute, they lack rhythm. When Anu and Adam Swandi come on nowadays, I don’t feel they are anything like what I remember of them as players. Is it a physical issue? Mental issue? Frankly I don’t know. Moving forward, I hope Coach Ranko balances out the workload a little more. I shudder to think what will happen to our team should Maxime sustain a bad injury. Touchwood. All of you reading this please touch wood as well. Datkovic Injury Datkovic is a tough guy – and so for him to lie on the ground wincing in pain after a collision with Hassan Sunny must have meant he was in a lot of pain. There is talk about the injury being a fractured rib, while some others say it’s a bruised rib. If it’s a fracture, then he’ll be out for at least a month. Fingers crossed. It’s a real shame because I feel he has settled into the team really well. He is assured in defence, useful in build-up, and also a penalty-box threat at the other end during setpieces. He is also the only left-footed centre-back option that we have, so this is a big blow to us, because it has an effect on how we play out from the back. The Toni-Bailey partnership has been an integral part of the defence that has conceded the second-least number of goals in the SPL this season. Toni’s injury means we will likely see a partnership that is largely untested, Bailey + Lionel, or Bailey + Hariss. This thus has further knock-on effects as to the midfield options that we have. All in all, a big blow to have Toni out for so long. Bailey was also left out of the squad for the loss to Albirex, with sources stating he suffered a concussion during the Borneo game. Fingers crossed he can make it back for this game – we’ll need all the bodies we can get. Geylang Always Give Us a Tough Time I was a little surprised when I checked the head-to-head results between Geylang and the Sailors in the past few meetings. I was expecting to see Geylang taking points off us left right and centre, but surprisingly we actually won all 3 games against Geylang in 2023, and the only bad result was the 1-1 draw earlier this season. Of course, there’s a reason for why I had that impression, and I suspect some other Sailors fans will have that impression too. First, it’s because we remember 2022 all too well, when we faced Geylang 4 times, and only managed 1 win. Even leaving aside the results, Noor Ali has set his side up well against us in the past few years, so much so that even if we do win, it isn’t exactly convincing. I am sure you will remember the 2-1 win over them when we needed a pair of Lestienne freekicks to bail us out – we were completely impotent in attack that day, and defensively we had to rely on a Mamat masterclass to stop Geylang from increasing their lead. This season’s game also saw Geylang completely grab hold of the impetus in the first half, and they scored after Bezecourt capitalised on a Hariss error. They do very well to stop us playing out of the back and building in any meaningful fashion, so we can expect more of the same this time. Tomoyuki Doi The man’s a machine. Even when Geylang are playing like crap, he scores. He’s now on 20 goals for the season, and to put things into context, that’s about half of Geylang’s goals (45), and more than the numbers of goals scored by Tanjong Pagar (15), DPMM (19). It is also equal to the number of goals scored by Young Lions and Hougang United, while only one less than that scored by Albirex (21). It is just insane. And he takes them from everywhere too. While he is a potent penalty-box finisher, 5 of his 20 goals were taken from outside the box as well, meaning you can’t just sit off him as well. With the Sailors defence in flux – I am not

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[Post-Match Thoughts] No Wind in Our Sails (Albirex 3 Sailors 1)

Oh dear… Oh dear… Oh dear… With the main man off exploring Jordan as the Women’s Team embark on their AFC Women’s Champions League debut, I’ve taken on the unfortunate task of reliving this match over and over again to bring you some post-match thoughts. If you read Eddy’s preview, you’d know we weren’t expecting another 7-1 hammering in our favour. But surely, most of us still thought we’d come away with a hard-fought win, or at most a draw. After all, Albirex have not been firing on all cylinders this season. Well, Eddy was right about it being anything but straightforward, and his 3-1 score prediction was spot on—just for the wrong team. Ouch. Squad Depth? We knew there’d be some rotation, and sure enough, Bailey Wright and Rui Pires made way for Hariss Harun and the returning Obren Kjlajic. Shawal also came in for Song, meaning we had a few changes from the side that started against Borneo FC Samarinda on Thursday night. But from the off, it didn’t look promising. The Sailors seemed all at sea in transition, giving Albirex far too much room and causing a few heart-in-mouth moments in our box. The team looked disjointed, with players having some rather animated discussions about who should be doing what defensively. Attacking-wise, no movement, no creativity—just flat. The team looked knackered, while Albirex came close to scoring several times. Obren, who was clearly struggling with fitness, had to be subbed off after just 30 minutes. He didn’t look his usual lively self as he headed back to the bench. Was this sub purely because of fitness? Tactical? We’ll never know. The fans were getting a bit antsy, and I can’t say I blame them. It’s been a tough week, and this performance felt like the result of weeks of minimal rotation and our first taste of fixture congestion in what’s turning into a marathon season. Some fans I spoke to reckon our squad depth might not be as deep as we thought. Chances Go Begging – A Familiar Tale The second half started more brightly. The movement was better, but we were still missing that creative spark. We came close to taking the lead—an Albirex goal-line clearance and a brilliant save from Hassan Sunny kept us out. But, as they say, football’s a game of fine margins—right before Albirex’s opener, it could have easily been 2-0 to us. In the post-match interview, Coach Ranko said it plainly: when you get those chances, you HAVE to put them away. We didn’t, and Albirex punished us, catching us on the break to go 1-0 up. The match stats surprised me, to be honest—despite the result, both sides were pretty evenly matched in possession, attempts, and shots on target. According to Sofascore, we posted an impressive 3.42 xG, a full point higher than Albirex’s. While that may make it sound like we did quite alright, obviously it’s the result that matters most – we just couldn’t finish our dinner on a night where we had the chance to go top of the table. Insult to Injury – Or Injury to Insult? As if the night couldn’t get any worse, Toni Datkovic took a nasty knock to the ribs after colliding with Hassan. Losing a key player like Sicario with important fixtures ahead is far from ideal. Here’s hoping Toni bounces back soon—we’re all rooting for you, Sicario! What Next? I’ve seen some fans and the usual suspects on social media throwing around some rather outlandish comments. There’s the usual, sack this coach, sack X player, etc. But surely it’s onwards and upwards from here, right? As fans, our job is to rally behind the team and give them the support they need to get back on track. The title race is far from over, so it’s definitely not all doom and gloom. (Shoutout to Eddy for that one!) This is the first time the lads have lost two games on the trot in over a year (back-to-back 3-1 defeats to DPMM and Albirex last season). But they’ve shown time and again that when they’re down, they’re never out. The team’s got work to do, and we fans can do better too. If we want to bring the domestic treble back to Bishan, we’ve got to do it together. Conclusion This wasn’t the easiest piece to write, but if there’s one positive to take from that disappointing night in Jurong, it’s the fans. What a turnout from The Crew for an away trip to the West—singing their hearts out right to the bitter end! So, 3-1 to Albirex—a familiar disappointment at Jurong East Stadium and probably a fair result. Credit to Albirex, who’ve found new life under their new management. But we’ll bounce back. Next up, it’s Geylang at home as we return to Bishan—and, hopefully, to winning ways. Friday can’t come soon enough! I’ve got faith in the players and the coaching staff to iron out the creases and bring this club back to where it belongs. With a string of continental fixtures on the horizon, it’s now or never to turn this season around. COME ON YOU SAILORS! Written by Calum Lim If you’d like to support the work we do here at SailorFanTalk, you may want to visit https://ko-fi.com/sailorfantalk and leave us a tip!

[Post-Match Thoughts] No Wind in Our Sails (Albirex 3 Sailors 1) Read More »

[Preview] Albirex Niigata (S) v Lion City Sailors (Not a Straightforward Game – Need to Rotate?)

It was 7-1 last time out against the White Swans as they meekly surrendered in that game. A combination of poor form and terribly naive tactics by King Kazu meant that our Sailors managed to hit them on transitions again and again and again. And again. It was terribly cathartic for Sailors fans, considering all the damage they have done to us over the years. Watch the highlights here again if you so wish. Are we likely to do a repeat of it? I don’t think so. More Pragmatic Albirex Since King Kazu got the sack, I think the truth finally dawned on Albirex that this season’s team was not very good. Not only was it not a championship-contending team, it is actually a team that would struggle to survive relegation (if there was such a concept in the SPL). They’ve since amended their style to be a lot more pragmatic, staying solid and compact and trying to hit teams on the counter with the pace of Daniel Goh and Shingo Nakano. Their last result was a 0-0 draw, the first time in 2 years that a goalless draw has been seen in the SPL. They managed to limit the effervescent attacking trio of DPMM, something that Geylang International failed to do earlier this evening. A part of this was perhaps due to the return of veteran midfielder Yojiro Takahagi, who managed to exert some control in midfield. This, coupled with Syed Firdaus Hassan’s return to midfield meant that Albirex were harder to break down than they usually are this season. Nakano – One to Fear When I first heard that Albirex were signing a kid who played college football in the USA, I thought to myself, wow how desperate could they be? But credit to them, what a masterstroke it has turned out to be. With raw energy, pace and athleticism, he has really proven to be the difference for Albirex. Since the Sailors game, he has struck 6 times in 7 games. He has 8 goals and 1 assist this season, making it 0.9 goals per game. For reference, Maxime is on 0.84, Shawal is on 0.89 and Lennart is on 0.69. Of his goals, he has also shown he is rather versatile – scoring with left foot, right foot, and his head. The last time we played him, he hadn’t fully settled in yet (though the same can be said of Lennart Thy who was still being criticised by some fans despite us racking up 7 goals). If we can stop the supply to Nakano, we can probably keep Albirex quiet tomorrow evening. Will Sailors Bounce Back with a Strong Side? Or Will they Rotate? A 3-0 loss to Borneo FC has gotta be slightly demoralising. And when you lose, your legs feel that bit heavier. You can play games every 3 days and if you’re winning each one comfortably, you might still feel that spring in your step. Does Coach Ranko rotate for this one, given that Albirex are one of the weaker teams in the SPL, and giving some key players a chance to get their legs back before the Geylang game on Friday? I think he won’t make wholesale changes, but I believe some regulars will come in. Shawal and Hariss I can see them starting given that they didn’t start in midweek. Rui Pires, given his early sending-off, should probably start as well. Should Obren be available, then the foreigner quota comes into the equation again. Does Coach Ranko drop one of our two foreign centre-backs to allow Obren to play? Conclusion Whatever lineup is put out, we absolutely have to beat this season’s version of Albirex. Let’s put the midweek disappointment behind us and go top of the table (Tampines don’t play this weekend). COME ON YOU BOYS IN BLUE! My predicted line-up Izwan Mahbud Lionel Tan, Bailey Wright, Toni Datkovic, Chris van Huizen Rui Pires, Adam Swandi, Hariss Harun Maxime Lestienne, Lennart Thy, Shawal Anuar Score Prediction Joseph and I predict the scores and track our success in a table. Stay tuned to find out who is the prediction king! 3 points for exact scoreline predicted correctly, 2 points for predicting the winner and margin of victory correctly (but not the exact scoreline), and 1 point for predicting the outcome correctly (win, lose or draw). Eddy’s prediction: Albirex 1 Sailors 3 Joseph’s prediction: Albirex 0 Sailors 3 Written by Eddy Hirono Picture courtesy of Lion City Sailors If you’d like to support the work we do here at SailorFanTalk, you may want to visit https://ko-fi.com/sailorfantalk and leave us a tip!

[Preview] Albirex Niigata (S) v Lion City Sailors (Not a Straightforward Game – Need to Rotate?) Read More »

[Post-Match Thoughts] Pitch Imperfect, But Only Ourselves to Blame

Expectedly, Coach Ranko started a strong team in our opening match for the Shopee Cup. Rather unexpectedly, our team seemed completely off as they struggled to adapt to a terrible pitch that was reminiscent of Toa Payoh Stadium on its worst days. However, in this short piece (I still haven’t packed for Jordan and I leave tonight), I will talk about some observations of mine and why I don’t feel we can say that the defeat only came because of the pitch or because of other factors such as poor refereeing. Terrible Pitch The pitch looked bad before the game, but it was only when it started did we see how bad it was. Both sides struggled with the ball, but of course our Sailors struggled with it even more. You could see it in the passing – gone was the usual zip in our passes, or any pretty passing patterns. Our players were underhitting or overhitting their passes, struggling to make sense of the pitch. There seemed to be a certain fear, a certain tentativeness, and our opponents seemed to cope much better with the pitch as the game went on (even if it did screw up a couple of their own attacks due to the unpredictable nature of the bounce of the ball when dribbling/passing). But I won’t go so far as to blame the pitch – I think as a team, we have to adapt better. First, this is not even Borneo FC’s home stadium – so we can’t even say they are much more familiar with the pitch than we are. They just adapted to it way better. Second, I think it is on the players and the management to see how they can prepare better for such games. The Shopee Cup takes us to different parts of Southeast Asia, with differing financial standards, and differing standards of facilities. Unlike the ACL last season where we travelled to Hong Kong and South Korea and played in world-class stadiums, the Shopee Cup will bring with it days like last night’s. Could the coaching team have arranged training sessions in Choa Chu Kang Stadium to try to prepare for such games? In Singapore, we’ve been somewhat spoilt with the predictable nature of artificial turf and also the nicely-manicured surfaces in our Mattar Road training centre. Our big-name players as well, will have been brought up in world-class academies. This is not something they will be used to – let’s learn from this and prepare better next time. Third, could the in-game tactics be tweaked to not just counter, but take advantage of this pitch? In this kind of game, you need to take advantage of the unpredictability, and avoid getting caught in build-up play. Shawal Anuar should have been brought on earlier. You avoid alot of the problems of getting caught in possession by going a little more direct, and Shawal is exactly the sort of player you want chasing down long diagonal passes. Just go back to an article on this website about 1.5 years ago – we wrote about how Shawal has a great first touch. But unlike the feted first touches of players like Iniesta and Berbatov where they kill the ball dead and then play it, Shawal is an expert in using his first touch to beat players by knocking it past them. I’ll let you read our analysis back then. All in all, a very disappointing failure to adapt to the conditions was one of the main factors that led to last night’s result. It’s still very early, so let’s learn from this. Not a Second Yellow Card Rui’s first yellow card was deserved. The second? If that’s a yellow card, everytime I shake hands with someone I should be sent to prison. Absolute nonsense. The slightest of contact left Berguinho rolling on the floor like a …. I don’t quite know what would do justice to this sentence. He rolled on the floor like a thing. Like a thing conceived after Neymar had a lovechild with a rolling pin. Anyway, there was barely any contact and it came a minute after Rui was shown the first yellow. Surely the referee could have given him a talking-to even if he felt it was a bad challenge? We weren’t playing that well and I wouldn’t dare say that had Rui stayed on the pitch, we would definitely have overcome the deficit and equalised or even won the game. But a bad decision is a bad decision, and the referee made a huge error here. Individual Errors – Team Responsibility I am quite annoyed by the constant chatter surrounding our defenders / midfielders after a defeat. It’s always sack this guy, replace that guy, bench this other guy. Rui made 2 big errors last night. The first was when he failed to track Gaucho at a setpiece, and he scored. We knew about their prowess from crosses and setpieces, so I think Rui should be very disappointed by what happened. He has his hands on Gaucho, then suddenly, without much happening at all, he inexplicably loses him and Gaucho scores – not the ideal way to open the game. The second is a little more unfortunate. A low cross is played in, and the idea is absolutely correct – instead of hammering it clear, Rui tries to play a pass around the corner for a very-free Hami Syahin. It would have undoubtedly led to a good counter-attack if the ball was used properly. I said in the preview article that Borneo FC is susceptible to the counter-attack, so who knows what would have happened if that pass came off. Alas, it didn’t. The ball took some unpredictable bounces on the turf, and Rui got it caught in between his feet. The son of Neymar and a rolling pin couldn’t believe his luck, and tucked it in with ease. Undoubtedly, these were his errors. And he deserves some criticism for them. But let’s not just

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[Preview] Borneo FC Samarinda v Lion City Sailors (First Taste of the Shopee Cup)

Leaving aside the ridiculous logo of our opponents, our Sailors’ foray into the Shopee Cup should be something we are excited about. While planning my away trips to support the team, I realised something – our Shopee Cup opponents are arguably harder than our ACL2 opponents. Funny, considering that ACL2 looks on paper to be the more prestigious tournament. More money on offer (ACL2’s USD2.5 million for the winner vs Shopee Cup’s USD500,000 for the winner), and also the chance to rub shoulders not only against ASEAN teams but also powerhouses from Japan, China and Korea. Part of why we can’t really predict the outcome of continental matches with much accuracy is because we have limited experience at this level, plus teams are ever-changing. With all that said, let’s dive into the preview (but not like a constipated dolphin, just take a normal dive). What Kind of Team is Borneo FC Samarinda? Looking at this screenshot, I have to admit that I know close to nothing about Indonesia football. Lilipaly is a standout name of course, him having scored against Singapore in the 2016 AFF Cup, and been one of Indonesia’s most eye-catching players over the years. But other than that, Rivaldo and Ronaldo are famous names but probably not the same people we immediately think of when you see those names, and then Fajar is just a place in Bukit Panjang. However, I wish I could say that when I decided to read up on this team and watch them on Youtube, that they are a bunch of unknowns we should be capable of swatting aside with ease. No. They seem to be a very good and well-organised team. They did excellently in the President’s Cup a month ago, and while that may not be seen to be real silverware because it is more of a pre-season tournament, the players from all the teams took it seriously, and Borneo FC fielded their best 11. They qualified for the final, overcoming Persib Bandung and PSM Makassar in the group stages, beating Persija Jakarta in the semi-final, and then losing out on penalties to Arema FC in the final. Throughout that run, they also showed real grit, battling to 90min and beyond. In their 5 games, they scored 3 goals in injury time in three different matches – twice to win the game and once to equalise. Not easy to do, especially against the teams they came up against. If there’s one small crumb of consolation – they seem to be quite susceptible to the counter-attack. If they push on with the home crowd behind them, perhaps we can exploit that. They will know that we thrive on transitions though, so I wonder if they will try to pick us off on the counter instead. Dangermen Of course, I speak from just watching some matches on Youtube, so please take this with a gigantic pinch of salt. Longtime observers of the ASEAN scene will know all about Lilipaly’s quality. Much like Bart Ramselaar and Maxime Lestienne, he has spent some time in Dutch football. He was born there, joined the AZ Alkmaar academy, and eventually played in the Eredivisie in 2 separate spells. Now 34, he’s lost some zip, but his playmaking quality and threat on the ball is still evident when you watch him. He seems to have quickly struck up an understanding with Berguinho and Gaucho. Berguinho reminds me of a B-rated Maxime Lestienne (I hope I do not regret saying this), while Gaucho is a cool, calm customer in front of goal. They look like they have the tools to punish us should we slack off in defence. Another thing to note about Borneo FC is they seem to cross the ball alot. Most of their goals have come from crosses, whether in open play or set pieces. Something to watch out for. Tight Schedule – Tired Players? Our Sailors play 3 games in 8 days. If Coach Ranko hasn’t rotated much before, he certainly will have to give some thought to it now. Do we take the Shopee Cup seriously? Given that the title sponsor is also our sponsor (and indirectly our owner), I don’t see us fielding a second string lineup for this tournament, unlike what BG Pathum did earlier last night. Our fixtures are Borneo FC Samarinda (away), Albirex (away), and then Geylang (home). The Albirex fixture worries me the most despite their poor form this season. Assuming we take the Shopee Cup seriously and field a strong 11, can they recover quickly and still perform at their best at the weekend? Even if we field a strong 11 and get a commanding lead (by no means an easy feat), Borneo FC’s late late heroics may mean that Coach Ranko pauses before making wholesale changes to the team to rest some legs. Well, I’m not the coach. I suspect he will go with a strong lineup for all 3 upcoming games because of the long break that the players had since our last game against DPMM at the start of August. This might work on a one-off basis, but this fixture congestion will pop up again and again in the coming months. 6 games in 20 days stretching from September to October, taking in flights to Bangkok and Hanoi – Ranko has to find an effective formula to allow the players to rest and recover. We have good depth both in our local and foreign ranks – it is time to trust the depth a little more. Supporters should also be abit more understanding of the schedule and the necessity of rotation – if we see a lineup without Maxime Lestienne, let’s try not to panic. Try! Put it this way, if the squad is absolutely reliant on Maxime Lestienne being available to beat Albirex, don’t you think that it is a bit of a failure of the squad / management? I’d think so. Indonesian Fans Indonesian fans are known to be super passionate

[Preview] Borneo FC Samarinda v Lion City Sailors (First Taste of the Shopee Cup) Read More »

[Specials] The ACL2 Draw – Who Are Lion City Sailors Likely to Draw?

The ACL2 draw is upon us. I took it quite literally in the image for this article. It is an exciting time that some of us Sailors fans have been saving up our annual leave for. The ACL2 draw brings with it the glamour of an overseas tie in places as varied as Sydney, Manila, Zhejiang, and Hiroshima. The allure of a continental match doesn’t just bring with it a small dose of national pride, it also allows us to travel and experience different cultures, as can be seen from our previous trips to South Korea and Hong Kong, to name two examples. So who are we likely to draw? Should we be hoping to be saying Konnichiwa to friendly Japanese strangers, or are we much more likely to be saying sawadeekhrap? We answer that question in this article. What the Math Appears to Be Looking at the pots like that, it would seem that for any given team in Pot 1, Pot 2, and Pot 4, we have a 25% chance of drawing any of them, and a 0% chance of drawing anyone from Pot 3. However, there are some qualifiers that change the probability a little. Country Protection Now, let’s get the obvious out of the way, country protection rules means that we cannot draw Tampines Rovers in Pot 4. So that means automatically, on the surface it looks like the probability of drawing any of the Pot 4 teams goes from 25% to 33%, with Tampines out of the picture as we cannot draw them. However, there are still some qualifiers to talk about – still related to country protection. Given that LCS is in a Pot with Muangthong United, Kaya Iloilo and Lee Man, it also makes it more likely that we will draw Dynamic Herb Cebu or Eastern United from Pot 4, as compared to our chances of drawing Persib Bandung. I’ll try my best to explain this, but this is because we already have a team from HK and Philippines in our Pot. Thus, it is more likely that if another group has drawn Lee Man from Pot 3 for example, it cannot draw Eastern, thus increasing the chance for Eastern to be in other groups containing the Sailors. Country protection also comes to the fore when you notice that each of Pot 1, 2, and 3 have a Thai team. It makes it highly likely that we will draw a Thai team, so fans of Tom Yam and cheap massages, rejoice! S.O.S (A Call for Help, not the Outdated Tournament that We Somehow Still Participate In) Now, if you, like me, didn’t feel that all that made a lot of sense, then you just have to trust the code drawn up by one of my friends, Raghu, who will probably kill me for saying this, but he is a Research Fellow at the University of Oxford Department of Physics. He is probably much better at me at all these science-y, math-y stuff. Do check him out if you are interested in his papers such as “An elementary quantum network of entangled optical atomic clocks” and “Quantum amplification of mechanical oscillator motion“. So anyway, he spent an hour writing some code for me, and we thus have the probability table you see below of us drawing any of the opponents from each Pot. The Probability Table Putting all the assumptions and rules together, this is how likely we are to draw each opponent from each Pot. As you can see, our chances of meeting a Thai opponent are very high, while a trip to Indonesia for Pot 4 looks less likely than a trip to Cebu or Hong Kong. Conclusion Probability is one thing, but where’s the fun in following the science all the time? Footyrankings Draw Simulator – this is the link where you can have some fun simulating over and over again who we are likely to meet. I tried it and got this abomination – Please, God, no. That would make it Shopee Cup x 2 for us this year. Let’s hope the draw brings us at least one Japanese/Korean/Australian team! Written by Eddy Hirono If you’d like to support the work we do here at SailorFanTalk, you may want to visit https://ko-fi.com/sailorfantalk and leave us a tip!

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[Post-Match Thoughts] Three and Easy, But It Really Should Have Been Many More

It’s been a really hectic time work-wise and also personally, so I will keep this short. It is not often that you say a 3-0 win is disappointing, but I felt this match was disappointing in how it could and should have been so many more. Don’t take it from me, take it from Lionel Tan, Coach Rankovic, and even the opposing coach. They all said that it could have been a lot worse. Both Joseph and I predicted big wins, and what we didn’t count on is an off-day from our attackers. Utter Dominance We had this to say in the preview. Amazingly, we managed to see a repeat, except this time we racked up 4.18 xG. In the first half alone, our Sailors managed to hit 18 shots, which included Maxime allowing Naumovski to make a save with a weak finish in front of goal, Song shooting straight at a defender with the goalkeeper out of the picture, Shawal Anuar failed to pull the trigger from near the penalty spot and countless other chances that really should have ended up in the back of the net. This theme continued in the second half. Maxime Lestienne even contrived to miss one on his favoured left foot right in front of goal. However, even on his off-day, he ended up with 2 assists. Insane. I’d say we are both lucky and unlucky. Unlucky that we didn’t score more, because Naumovski is just such a beast, but also lucky that it didn’t cost us in the end, except for the minor matter of goal difference. We are still 2 ahead of Tampines Rovers on that front, but 1 point behind. Hopefully this doesn’t come back to bite us in the ass at the end of the season. Thy Worth His Weight In Goals (And More) Even when he wasn’t scoring goals, we had always been singing praises of Lennart Thy. His unselfish runs open up space for his teammates, and even when he was going through a lean goalscoring spell, he never once acted like anything other than the perfect teammate. There was no demanding to take penalties off Maxime Lestienne, no shooting from impossible angles, and even though Maxime was reluctant to pass to him in the first few matches he played, when it came time for Lennart to pass to Max, he did so readily. Now he is onto six goals and three assists for the season, having started the season later than the rest of the league. That’s 9 goal contributions in 8 games, an impressive return. Even without his goals though, I’ve always lauded his hard work for the team, and let me just show you two examples of how he gives us a different dimension in build-up. Both times, the ball is with our centrebacks and Brunei DPMM tries to set a trap for our defenders. A slightly loose pass, or a pass to a player who has been designated pre-match to be the pressing trigger might then lead to a bit of panic for our Sailors. Lennart Thy’s aerial presence and workrate changes that for us though – after the above frames, Thy presented himself for an aerial challenge, and while one resulted in Sailors keeping possession and the other didn’t – they both eventually lead to similarly dangerous chances. Simply put, Lennart gives us a variety of build-up options which can help us break the press of our opponents. Upcoming Fixtures Post-match, Coach Rankovic appealed to the FAS to allow Singapore’s continental representatives to have more rest in between league fixtures and continental fixtures. If you look at the fixtures, you can see why. A match on Thursday night away from home, followed by a game on Sunday against a resurgent Albirex sounds like a potential banana peel. I am sure this is not ideal for the players’ rest and recovery requirements. This set of fixtures also shows that quite plainly. Could the FAS do more? Probably. Should they? That is a harder question to answer. The gap between games and the back-to-back nature of them will make it hard for our Sailors, but is this any different from teams in the UEFA Champions League or Europa League? I am not so sure. If anything, our journeys to Vietnam and to Borneo may be nearer than some of the distances undertaken by European teams. Given our depth, we should be able to cope, and I hope we see minutes given to our fringe players as well, to help manage workload. Conclusion Nothing much more to say except that this could and should have been double digits. DPMM caught us on a very good day. They were horrendous. Till next time! Written by Eddy Hirono If you’d like to support the work we do here at SailorFanTalk, you may want to visit https://ko-fi.com/sailorfantalk and leave us a tip!

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[Preview] Sailors v Brunei DPMM (Another Big Win Incoming?)

The last time we played these opponents, it was the late, late show, with Shawal’s acrobatic goal giving us the lead only in the 86th minute of the game. Maxime Lestienne then added on some gloss with a truly fantastic curler from the edge of the box to seal the points. It was an unconvincing result, but performance-wise, we absolutely battered DPMM and it was only the heroics from Naumovski and some wasteful finishing which prevented us from scoring even more. In this preview, I talk about how I believe our Sailors are primed to get yet another big scoreline. Let’s dive right into it. Set-Pieces (Yes, Again) By now you must be kinda bored of hearing this – but yes, our opponents are spectacularly bad at defending from set-pieces. They’ve conceded 7 goals from set-pieces this season, despite playing one game fewer than the most of the league. This is second-highest in the league, with the highest being Hougang, the team we vanquished at the weekend. One-third of the goals conceded by DPMM are from set-pieces. Part of the explanation for this is the same as Hougang’s – just simply a lack of quality at centreback. Since Flottmann’s injury for DPMM, they have not looked the same side, and it is no wonder that they have already dipped into the market to search for new foreigners. They’ve signed a few already if transfermrkt.com is to be believed, but will have to wait for the transfer window to open before they can register anyone. But those with a good memory will remember that Naumovski turned in a great performance against us the last time out, and is one of the more reliable keepers in the league. So surely he compensates a little for his centre-backs not being the most dominant? Yes and no. While Naumovski has proven to be capable in the air, if we take a look at the 5 goals our centre-backs Bailey and Toni have got from corner kicks, you will realise that all of them were outswingers. 4 were delivered by Lestienne’s left foot, while the other was delivered by the right foot of Adam Swandi. What this does is that it negates his prowess in the air, because outswingers curl away from the keeper, and it is very unlikely that a keeper will come out for those unless it’s very poorly-placed, or it is a very slow ball. Once again, you heard it here first – we’re gonna score from a setpiece. DPMM are a Lucky Team with a Good Goalkeeper I’ve already talked about Naumovski a little in the previous section – let’s talk about him a little more. DPMM has the 3rd-best defensive record in the league, with 21 goals conceded. Sailors and Tampines have each conceded 12, while Geylang have conceded 22. The rest of the league is in the region of 30. However, if you take a look at xG allowed to their opponents, DPMM are actually near the bottom – only Young Lions and Albirex (of course) are worse. Now, of course, many factors play into this. Quality of goalkeeper is one. If you give up tons of good chances, but your goalkeeper is class, then you’re gonna rack up a big xG allowed, but not actually concede goals. Other factors, such as wasteful finishing, and luck also come into the picture. In the reverse fixture, the lingering memory is that DPMM did well to shut us out till the end, but in reality, it was a mixture of good goalkeeping and bad finishing. Take a look at the stats (DPMM in green, Sailors in blue). You can almost guarantee if we create the same kind of chances in such a dominant display tomorrow, the scoreline will be very different. Cruz Control Despite starting the season late and missing the last two games with an injury, Julio Cruz remains DPMM’s joint-highest scorer with 4 goals. He also has 3 assists under his belt. That’s 7 goal contributions in the 6 games he has played, which while not Maxime levels (21 goal contributions in 10 games), is still very presentable. I like him a lot because of his strength, skills and also his ability to use both feet. He almost scored against Zharfan in the last game with a 35-yard piledriver. The official SPL site preview lists him as possibly making a comeback from injury, and whether he makes it not will be a crucial factor in determining whether we walk out of this match with a clean sheet. He is DPMM’s focal point in attack, and he has a real poacher’s instinct, scoring his 4 goals from only 2.54 xG. Let’s hope he can’t make it back in time. Or maybe just maybe, he’s not out injured, and he just had a falling-out or something with his coach? I am just speculating of course, but it does seem strange that DPMM would go out and sign a 31-year-old Spanish striker (Sergio Mendigutxia) unless someone in their frontline is leaving. It’s ParThy Time Please excuse me for that terrible pun. Jokes aside – Lennart Thy has been playing well, playing selflessly for the team, and contributing to wins. However, there hasn’t been a game yet where he forces everyone to take notice of him. I think that time has come. He looked a relieved man with his 2 goals last week, and that may be all he needs against a weak backline. For context, Brunei’s national team is ranked 190th in the world, while Singapore’s is 160th. Without a foreign centreback, Lennart Thy is essentially going up against an all-Bruneian backline. He will have no better chance to plunder them for goals. Hafiz Nor Last but not least, Hafiz Nor hit his 100th appearance for the Sailors recently, and will be presented with a special commemorative gift by the club tomorrow. The presentation will take place after the pre-match warmup so be there early to applaud this legend of the

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