March 2023

[Tactical Analysis] Room For Improvement (LCS 3 DPMM Brunei 1)

The following tactical analysis is from Zach Wu, who’s not a Sailors fan, but we just thought it would be good for someone without rose-tinted glasses to analyse the tactics of our games. We hope to make this a regular column so that we can better appreciate what is going on in our games from a tactical perspective. It was a potential title decider just 2 weeks into the new season. However, both teams were far from being in title-challenging form, be it LCS’s new-look side settling in or DPMM playing in a far less competitive league of late. First Half LCS set up in their customary 4231, being relatively unchanged, bar Anu starting at centre back. Nur Adam, however, was replaced relatively early with a dislocated shoulder, so Van Huizen moved over to left back while Bill Mamadou filled in at right back. DPMM interestingly started in a 352/532 system not too dissimilar to the formation employed in their title-winning campaign in 2019 (image below). They were without one of their foreigners in Josip Balic, and Coach Adrian Pennock highlighted him as a key miss. Finding the free players Naturally, the free players for the 4231 team against a 532 team are the fullbacks because it is a 2v1 on the wings (winger and fullback (4231) vs one wingback (532)). However, just playing the ball to the fullbacks alone would make the team one-dimensional and the buildup flank-orientated (i.e. the ball only sticks to the wings). Here, seconds later from the previous image where the ball was on the left, LCS are able to find the far-sided fullback Bill Mamadou (pink) while the DPMM block is shifting over, allowing him time and space to drive the ball forward. After running with the ball a few meters, the DPMM midfield is slow to move across while the defence is too deep, creating a big space (red) in the centre. Unfortunately, Diego is too deep (pink). If LCS had been able to work the ball to Diego in this red area, he could do significant damage with the ball, given his ability. DPMM not up to speed Generally, DPMM seemed to be adapting to the game especially in the first half, even if they were moving slowly across and not compact – but the lead-up to the opening goal really summed up their lethargic approach. Here, LCS win a throw-in and take it quickly having seen DPMM’s right wingback caught out of position. Diego (red) spots this and makes a dart into the space. The covering centre-back is slow to respond and this leads to the cutback which Lestienne finishes. This is a routine error, with no one stopping LCS taking the quick throw in. In fact, even the seasoned #8 Hendra Azam is there but not even looking at the ball when the throw is taken. If DPMM want to go for the title again, such routine mistakes must not be repeated. While Coach Adrian Pennock told Eddy in a post-match interview that the players had thought the throw-in should have been awarded to them, it is still no excuse as players are taught to always play to the referee’s calls and be alert to what is going on around them. Second Half Luxury Players Switching Off Lestienne and Diego Lopes have been lauded for their plaudits with the ball, but off the ball, their contribution at times have been questionable especially later on in games. Here, LCS has just given the ball away. There are two pictures above and if you look at the first, what is happening there is the ball is attempted to be played into the box by the DPMM player. Lestienne sees four LCS players converging onto it, and gambles, by starting to angle his body forward and slowly jog forward in anticipation of a counter-attack if the ball can break kindly for an LCS player. This is either clever play, or coach’s instructions to gamble in such situations. However, when it becomes clear that there is some defending to be done, you will see that Tanaka and Lestienne have in fact continued advancing forward (observe the differences in their positions, and how they are now closer to the centre-circle), and make no attempt to close down space or put themselves closer to the action. Lopes is also watching the action instead of tucking in to be in a position to react to a potential loose ball.   With Tanaka also upfront, this leaves LCS with just 7 outfielders to defend. This forces Lionel to step out to close the man down – far out from his preferred central defensive position (see below). He is not able to intercept, and the ball is swung to DPMM’s right. It eventually reaches Voronkov who forces a good save out of Zharfan. On another day, this could have been a goal. Akin to the Neymar-Mbappe-Messi situation at PSG, Vidakovic has to find a solution to ensure their marquee players do not cost the team defensively. Lack of control (and options) As the half wore on, both sides were starting to tire but with both sides pushing forward for a goal (be it Sailors for the third and DPMM for an equalizer), it remained a very open game. With Hariss the only defensive minded midfielder protecting the backline, and Hami naturally more attack-minded, the midfield was quite empty at times. Unfortunately given the centre-back situation, Anu had to be played in defense and there was no natural defensive midfielder on the bench. Perhaps Rusyaidi Salime could have come on to help plug the gap in midfield? While he isn’t a pure defensive midfielder, he posted pretty high defensive stats last season, and could have done a job in midfield. Conclusion As a whole, LCS generally played well, creating 2.1 xG against 1.27 of DPMM, especially factoring in the mistake by Zharfan. This was an improvement compared to the TPU game where they let in 1.78 xG against a

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[POST-MATCH THOUGHTS] – Winning On A Cold Rainy Night In Bishan (LCS 3 DPMM 1)

Pre-game, the club cheekily said in their Instagram post that it was time to do it on a “cold rainy night in Bishan“. For those who may not be familiar with the reference, this is one of English football’s greatest cliches, where if you wanted cast doubt on a foreign signing, you would claim that while he may be a world-beater, you would question if he would be able to “do it on a cold rainy night in Stoke“. The origin of this phrase was from Andy Gray who in 2011 ridiculously claimed that while Messi was a world-class talent, he would not be able to do well in an away game at Stoke, presumably because the physicality of the Stoke players, and awful weather conditions would combine to nullify Messi. DPMM Playing Like Stoke? Enough with the history lesson. If there was any team that was going to be Stoke-like last night, it certainly wasn’t the Sailors. DPMM, making their comeback to the SPL were physical and robust all night, fighting and scrapping hard to try to wrestle some control of the game. In some ways, it was pretty admirable to watch, given that they managed to pump themselves up for the fight when they had not played a high-level competitive league game for three years. I had the privilege of speaking to Coach Adrian Pennock after the game, and he gave praise to his players for their attitude. He also said he was filled with enthusiasm after the performance especially because he was dealing with some injuries in the squad, and also because key midfielder Josip Balic was out. However, even though it pains me to say this because Coach Pennock was such a gent in the post-match interview, the fans (myself included) did get mighty pissed off by the time-wasting antics of the Bruneians in the first half before the goal went in. The keeper seemed to take an age with every goal kick. He Pickford-ed at every opportunity (do yourself a favour and check it up on youtube to see what I mean – but basically this means a keeper wasting time by dramatically falling onto the ball and taking a long time to get up even though it is a routine save). In fact, he wasted so much time that at one goal kick, a small boy in the stands behind me shouted “What’s wrong with this goalkeeper? He take one kick take 50 years ah?” Kids say the darndest things, don’t they – but in this case he wasn’t exactly off the mark. Perhaps if we can have some sympathy for them, this is their first competitive game in a while, and Coach Pennock also referred to the fatigue suffered by his players, especially in the second half, so maybe they were just trying to slow the pace of the game down a little. Still doesn’t make all that diving and time-wasting OK, but oh well we got the win, so, moving on. Defensive Frailty? Much like the Tanjong Pagar game, there is a bit of a worry within me watching our Sailors play because while we look to be in control for large parts of the game, when we come under some pressure, it really seems like a sense of panic spreads within the team, and this period of pressure becomes a little sustained. We then have to rely on excellent goalkeeping, or last-ditch tackles to really try and keep our opponents out. Last night, the goal came from an error by Zharfan Rohaizad, who up till then had been pretty decent. He was called upon to save a few shots, and he did that well. He was also good with distribution too. However, the error was a glaring one as he passed the ball straight to Varankow and this eventually led to a goal. I think this happens sometimes when we play out from the back, and I liked that Coach Risto played down the error when he said – Zharfan had a decent game otherwise, especially considering the wet conditions. He made saves when he had to, clung on to some of the crosses well, and although I am sure he will not be happy with his overall performance, it is definitely something to build on. Defensively, I thought Lionel Tan had a great game and he seemed to crunch into many challenges, getting on the nerves of the DPMM players, who repeatedly got into verbal tussles with him. He was involved in 15 challenges, and won 11 of them. Impressively, he only gave away one foul despite his front-foot approach towards defending which led to him sometimes being pulled out of his favoured central-defensive position. Also impressive was his 93% passing completion rate with 54 passes played – a high percentage considering one of the often-held criticisms about him is his lack of ball-playing ability. Anu won 82% of his challenges as well, and was generally untroubled until a spell in the second half, where the whole team seemed to lose composure for a little bit. In our post-match interview with Hami Syahin, he mentioned that there will inevitably be times in a game where the players lack a little focus, or the opponents look to be dominant in attack, but the team would rely on Hariss to calm them down and help them remain composed. I have to admit that from my perspective in the stands, it really did seem that the period before DPMM’s goal already showed us hints that DPMM were going to trouble the scoresheet soon – so I am not so sure that the composure was really visible to us fans. Why the apparent sudden defensive frailty in the 2nd half? Frankly I cannot tell. I’ve already tasked Zach to look into this, and hopefully he will have some answers for us in the Tactical Analysis piece that should come out in the next few days! Quick Thinking Makes the First Goal Before I

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[Preview] LCS v Brunei DPMM – Unknown Quantity

Before every game, we will do a short preview and share some of our thoughts, and also predictions. Starting this season, all 3 of us at SailorFanTalk will give you our predictions, and we will track these over the course of the year. 3 points for exact scoreline predicted correctly, 2 points for predicting the winner and margin of victory correctly (but not the exact scoreline), and 1 point for predicting the outcome correctly (win, lose or draw). If you have been following SPL preview shows, or talking to any ardent SPL fans, you would be sick of hearing this by now – “Brunei DPMM is an unknown quantity”. Heck, even Hafiz Nor said so in his pre-match preview, when he stated that the team “don’t really know what to expect from [DPMM]“. Sick of it or not, it’s because it’s true. We simply do not know what we should expect from them because they have not been in proper competitive action for a very long time. DPMM Brunei’s Absence from “Proper” Competition While Covid-19 ravaged the world, Brunei adopted a very strict stance on international travel, and thus the Singapore Premier League has not seen them since 2020. They played one game then, before the league was suspended. Even when the league resumed, they were unable to travel to Singapore to fulfil their fixtures, so they continued to sit out the remainder of the 2020 season. 2021 saw the same happen – they could not travel here, and thus could not take part in the SPL. However, they did play a handful of games in their Bruneian domestic league before it was suspended again due to Covid-19. 2022 saw them take part in Bruneian domestic competition. Once again, due to Covid-19, the league was abandoned, and thus they only played in the Brunei FA Cup. In this tournament, they recorded crazy scorelines such as 18-0, 8-0, 15-0, and won every game, sweeping all before them on their way to winning the Cup. It is not an understatement to say that this presented little to no challenge for them. It is certainly no replacement for proper competitive football, whatever your thoughts are on the quality of our SPL. It is perhaps also futile if we try to analyse their results from 2019 or 2020 (before Covid-19) to see if we can predict how they will fare later on against us, because it is too long ago. Maybe pre-season would be a better place to look? DPMM Brunei’s Pre-Season From their Instagram page, it seems that Brunei DPMM went to Thailand for pre-season and suffered a couple of defeats. Nothing too surprising or concerning given the quality of the Thai teams. They lost 2-0 to Chonburi FC (Thai T1 team), and 3-0 to Nakhonpathum United (Thai T2 team). They then went back to Brunei and beat a local team 3-0. There is perhaps not a lot you can glean from these results given that we have no idea who played for Chonburi or Nakhonpathum United. If those Thai teams played their full teams with their first-teamers (unlikely), then DPMM is probably going to ruffle a few feathers in the SPL this season. The SPL teams did not have a good time when they went abroad, so if you do some back-of-the-napkin calculations and deductions, DPMM not getting thrashed means they are better than our teams. (Yes, we are desperate to try to get some conclusions out of the little nuggets of information we have). Andrey Varankow How can we do a DPMM preview piece without talking about Andrey Varankow? In the picture you see Varankow (or Voronkov, there are so many spellings it’s insane), with the other 3 foreigners who are part of DPMM’s squad this season. Varankow scored 23 goals in 24 appearances the last time he played a full season in Singapore. Yes, those are stats you see in FIFA or Football Manager. Unsurprisingly, he finished as top-scorer by some margin, and DPMM won the league. Whenever he played, he was a constant threat, and Singaporean defences just did not manage to get a handle on him. However, and this is the big “however” – that was 4 years ago, when Varankow was 30. He is now 34. And it’s not just the age. He was out of contract in 2022, which means he did not even play in DPMM Brunei’s successful FA Cup campaign. His last football action was in the shortened Brunei Super League campaign in 2021, where he scored 23 goals in 6 games – once again highlighting the point that playing domestically in Brunei really isn’t competitive at all. He may struggle to find his feet in the league, and that’s certainly what we LCS fans will be hoping for later today. A quick side-note on the other foreigners – they all come with pretty good pedigree, having played in leagues such as the Greek Superleague and the Uzbek league. However, I will not pretend to know more about these players. We will just have to see how good they are for ourselves. Conclusion Given that DPMM are a bit of an unknown quantity and the bulk of their team is made up of the Brunei national team, who did not look great at the AFF ME Cup a few months back, and then factoring in their lack of practice in a competitive sense, we see the Sailors edging this one. Score Prediction As mentioned above, this will be a continuing feature as the season goes on. Joseph, Ethan, and myself will predict the scores, and track our success in a table. Stay tuned to find out who is the prediction king! 3 points for exact scoreline predicted correctly, 2 points for predicting the winner and margin of victory correctly (but not the exact scoreline), and 1 point for predicting the outcome correctly (win, lose or draw). Eddy’s prediction: 3-1 Sailors Ethan’s prediction: 2-1 Sailors Joseph’s prediction: 2-2 Draw Written by Eddy Hirono [UPDATE]:

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